Computers, indispensable in peace, are
becoming ever more important in political
conflicts and open warfare. This article is
the seventh in a series examining the
growing use of computer power as a weapon.
The program, known as Conficker, uses flaws
in Windows software to co-opt machines and
link them into a virtual computer that can
be commanded remotely by its authors. With
more than five million of these zombies now
under its control — government, business and
home computers in more than 200 countries —
this shadowy computer has power that dwarfs
that of the world’s largest data centers.
Alarmed by the program’s quick spread after
its debut in November, computer security
experts from industry, academia and
government joined forces in a highly unusual
collaboration. They decoded the program and
developed antivirus software that erased it
from millions of the computers. But
Conficker’s persistence and sophistication
has squelched the belief of many experts
that such global computer infections are a
thing of the past.
“It’s using the best current practices and
state of the art to communicate and to
protect itself,” Rodney Joffe, director of
the Conficker Working Group, said of the
malicious program. “We have not found the
trick to take control back from the malware
in any way.”
Researchers speculate that the computer
could be employed to generate vast amounts
of spam; it could steal information like
passwords and logins by capturing keystrokes
on infected computers; it could deliver fake
antivirus warnings to trick naïve users into
believing their computers are infected and
persuading them to pay by credit card to
have the infection removed.
There is also a different possibility that
concerns the researchers: That the program
was not designed by a criminal gang, but
instead by an intelligence agency or the
military of some country to monitor or
disable an enemy’s computers. Networks of
infected computers, or botnets, were used
widely as weapons in conflicts in Estonia in
2007 and in Georgia last year, and in more
recent attacks against South Korean and
United States government agencies. Recent
attacks that temporarily crippled Twitter
and Facebook were believed to have had
political overtones.
Yet for the most part Conficker has done
little more than to extend its reach to more
and more computers. Though there had been
speculation that the computer might be
activated to do something malicious on April
1, the date passed without incident, and
some security experts wonder if the program
has been abandoned.
The
experts have only tiny clues about the
location of the program’s authors. The first
version included software that stopped the
program if it infected a machine with a
Ukrainian language keyboard. There may have
been two initial infections — in Buenos
Aires and in Kiev.
Wherever the authors are, the experts say,
they are clearly professionals using the
most advanced technology available. The
program is protected by internal defense
mechanisms that make it hard to erase, and
even kills or hides from programs designed
to look for botnets.
A
member of the security team said that the
Federal Bureau of Investigation had
suspects, but was moving slowly because it
needed to build a relationship with
“noncorrupt” law enforcement agencies in the
countries where the suspects are located.
An F.B.I. spokesman in Washington declined
to comment, saying that the Conficker
investigation was an open case.
The first infections, last Nov. 20, set off
an intense battle between the hidden authors
and the volunteer group that formed to
counter them. The group, which first called
itself the “Conficker Cabal,” changed its
name when Microsoft, Symantec and several
other companies objected to the
unprofessional connotation.
Eventually, university researchers and law
enforcement officials joined forces with
computer experts at more than two dozen
Internet, software and computer security
firms.
The group won some battles, but lost others.
The Conficker authors kept distributing new,
more intricate versions of the program, at
one point using code that had been devised
in academia only months before. At another
point, a single technical slip by the
working group allowed the program’s authors
to convert a huge number of the infected
machines to an advanced peer-to-peer
communications scheme that the industry
group has not been able to defeat. Where
before all the infected computers would have
to phone home to a single source for
instructions, the authors could now use any
infected computer to instruct all the
others.
In early April, Patrick Peterson, a research
fellow at Cisco Systems in San Jose, Calif.,
gained some intelligence about the authors’
interests. He studies nasty computer
programs by keeping a set of quarantined
computers that capture and observe them —
his “digital zoo.”
He discovered that the Conficker authors had
begun distributing software that tricks
Internet users into buying fake antivirus
software with their credit cards. “We turned
off the lights in the zoo one day and came
back the next day,” Mr. Peterson said,
noting that in the “cage” reserved for
Conficker, the infection had been joined by
a program distributing an antivirus software
scam.
It was the most recent sign of life from the
program, and its silence has set off a
debate among computer security experts. Some
researchers think Conficker is an empty
shell, or that the authors of the program
were scared away in the spring. Others argue
that they are simply biding their time.
If the misbegotten computer were
reactivated, it would not have the
problem-solving ability of supercomputers
used to design nuclear weapons or simulate
climate change. But because it has
commandeered so many machines, it could draw
on an amount of computing power greater than
that from any single computing facility run
by governments or Google. It is a dark
reflection of the “cloud computing” sweeping
the commercial Internet, in which data is
stored on the Internet rather than on a
personal computer.
The industry group continues to try to find
ways to kill Conficker, meeting as recently
as Tuesday. Mr. Joffe said he, for one, was
not prepared to declare victory. But he said
that the group’s work proved that government
and private industry could cooperate to
counter cyberthreats.
“Even if we lose against Conficker,” he
said, “there are things we’ve learned that
will benefit us in the future.”