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January 30, 2010
by Keith Bradsher
and
Shiho Fukada


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Highlighting by Don |
| TIANJIN, China — China
vaulted past competitors in Denmark, Germany, Spain and the United
States last year to become the world’s largest maker of wind
turbines, and is poised to expand even further this year. China has also leapfrogged the West in the last two years to emerge as the world’s largest manufacturer of solar panels. And the country is pushing equally hard to build nuclear reactors and the most efficient types of coal power plants. These Chinese efforts to dominate renewable energy technologies raise the prospect that the West may someday trade its dependence on oil from the Mideast for a reliance on solar panels, wind turbines and other gear manufactured in China. “Most of the energy equipment will carry a brass plate, ‘Made in China,’ ” said K. K. Chan, the chief executive of Nature Elements Capital, a private equity fund in Beijing that focuses on renewable energy. President Obama, in his State of the Union speech last week, sounded an alarm that the United States was falling behind other countries, especially China, on energy. “I do not accept a future where the jobs and industries of tomorrow take root beyond our borders — and I know you don’t either,” he told Congress. The United States and other countries are offering incentives to develop their own renewable energy industries, and Mr. Obama called for redoubling American efforts. Yet many Western and Chinese executives expect China to prevail in the energy-technology race. Multinational corporations are responding to the rapid growth of China’s market by building big, state-of-the-art factories in China. Vestas of Denmark has just erected the world’s biggest wind turbine manufacturing complex here in northeastern China, and transferred the technology to build the latest electronic controls and generators. “You have to move fast with the market,” said Jens Tommerup, the president of Vestas China. “Nobody has ever seen such fast development in a wind market.” Renewable energy industries here are adding jobs rapidly, reaching 1.12 million in 2008 and climbing by 100,000 a year, according to the government-backed Chinese Renewable Energy Industries Association. Yet renewable energy may be doing more for China’s economy than for the environment. Total power generation in China is on track
to pass the United States in 2012 — and most of the added capacity
will still be from coal. That compares with less than 4 percent now in China and the United States. Coal will still represent two-thirds of
China’s capacity in 2020, and nuclear and hydropower most of the
rest. The government spends heavily to upgrade the electricity grid, committing $45 billion in 2009 alone. State-owned banks provide generous
financing. Generous subsidies for consumers to install
their own solar panels or solar water heaters have produced flurries
of activity on rooftops across China. To meet demand in the coming decade,
according to statistics from the International Energy Agency, China
will need to add nearly nine times as much electricity generation
capacity as the United States will. In China, power companies have to buy lots
of new equipment anyway, and alternative energy, particularly wind
and nuclear, is increasingly priced competitively. China’s commitment to renewable energy is expensive. Although costs are falling steeply through mass production, wind energy is still 20 to 40 percent more expensive than coal-fired power. Solar power is still at least twice as
expensive as coal. When
a Chinese company reached a deal in November to supply turbines for
a big wind farm in Texas, there were calls in Congress to halt
federal spending on imported equipment. |
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http://www.pj6.com/14/NYTCore.htm