Simon Johnson

Simon Johnson is a former chief economist at the International Monetary Fund. He now teaches at MIT's Sloan School of Management, and is a Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics.

http://www.pj6.com/19/13Bankers1.htm

 

Highlighting by Don

12 May 2010

Senator Kaufman’s Speech Yesterday

Senator Ted Kaufman (D, DE) is best known these days for arguing that, as part of comprehensive financial reform efforts, our biggest banks need to be made smaller. His advocacy on this issue helped build support around the country and forced a Senate floor vote on the Brown-Kaufman amendment, which was defeated 33-61 last Thursday.

Senator Kaufman has also pushed strongly the idea that in recent years there was a pervasive “arc of fraud” within the mortgage-securitization-derivatives complex. This thesis also seems to be gaining traction – according to the WSJ today, the criminal probe into this part of the financial sector continues to develop.

But the Senator’s biggest home run has been on a different issue: his warnings about the dangers of high-speed trading, involving “dark pools” of money, appear to have been completely vindicated – ironically enough, also last Thursday.

Think about it this way. The US stock trading system, long-established and widely thought to be robust, crashed on Thursday afternoon. Widely held stocks, traded with consistent liquidity, do not fall in value from $40 to 1 cent and then bounce back again – even in emerging markets, let alone in the United States. It is true that complex systems crash, but given the infrastructure and back-up systems involved here, this is much closer to east coast air traffic control shutting down for 15 minutes than it is to your local cable company having a problem.

And here’s the most remarkable point – after 6 full working days (and top people do sweat this kind of issue on the weekend), we are still no closer to really understanding what happened. To be sure, there are plenty of theories – and no shortage of proposals for avoiding a recurrence. But, despite the evident resources thrown at this problem, we do not know what went wrong.

The SEC is beginning to get its act together under Mary Shapiro. But it needs to lift its game to a much higher level.

Senator Kaufman has flagged mortgage-related fraud, high-speed/dark-pool trading, and bank size. 

The consensus against big banks is shifting against them.

Europe

European megabanks – lauded by Senators Dodd, Corker, Warner and others as a model for us to follow – are up to their eyeballs in bad debt. Their regulatory system is turning into ash.

Which are the huge global banks that Senator Dodd, Jamie Dimon, and Larry Summers think we should be emulating?

Surely not the Chinese – their governance failures are profound and complete; this is state banking run amok.

Surely not the British.

Surely not the Canadians

And surely not the continental European banks model of ineptness, blind herding, and the transition from being “too big to fail” to “so big that even when you save them, you get an economic catastrophe”?

Senator Kaufman's speech on May 12, 2010 excerpt:

In the week before the meltdown, here is a comment letter to the SEC written by the Security Traders Association.

“The equity markets are functioning properly, and there are no signs of significant deficiencies or an inability to perform their important functions.”

 

The end